Türkiye’s manufacturing export climate index, which tracks business conditions in the country’s main export markets, stood at 51.6 in December 2025.
Readings above the 50.0 threshold indicate an improvement in export conditions, while values below 50 signal deterioration. Accordingly, as of January 2026, the index remained above the critical threshold for the 25th consecutive month. The latest data showed that demand conditions in export markets improved at a moderate pace, with the improvement being slightly stronger than in December. Signals of strengthening demand in key European export markets were among the main factors supporting the export climate.
In the United Kingdom, output growth reached its fastest pace in around one and a half years in January, while growth momentum also picked up in Germany. These two countries together account for approximately 15% of Türkiye’s manufacturing exports. In other parts of Europe, economic activity increased in Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and Greece, whereas demand continued to weaken in France, Romania and Poland.
In the United States, private sector activity maintained its strong expansion in January, with the pace of growth edging up slightly compared to the end of 2025.
The Middle East remained one of the key sources of strengthening demand conditions in the first month of 2026. In the United Arab Emirates, non-oil economic activity recorded a rapid and accelerating expansion, the strongest among the economies covered by the survey. Output improved markedly in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, while moderate growth was observed in Egypt. Output was broadly unchanged in Lebanon, while a slight contraction was recorded in Qatar.
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