13,744.64 TRY BIST 100 BIST 100
53.28 EUR EUR EUR
46.13 USD USD USD
6.84 CNY CNY CNY
0.13 CNY CNY/EUR CNY/EUR
43.69 TRY Interest Interest
93.67 USD Fossil Oil Fossil Oil
6.21 USD Copper Copper
94.66 USD Silver Silver
101.55 USD Iron Ore Iron Ore
400.00 USD Shipbreaking Scrap Shipbreaking Scrap
6,089.00 TRY Gold (gr) Gold (gr)
101.00 USD Iron Ore 61% Fe Iron Ore 61% Fe

European steel market: Trade policy developments and outlook for H2

The European steel market is undergoing a gradual reshaping of pricing dynamics amid evolving trade policy measures and sustained upward pressure on input costs. Expectations for the second half of the year are being cautiously revised upwards, supported by supply constraints and regulatory uncertainty, while persistently weak demand continues to limit price momentum and delay the emergence of a clear directional trend.

European steel market: Trade policy developments and outlook for H2

Across long and flat steel products, prices in Europe remain broadly stable with a slight upward bias, varying modestly by country. Rebar is assessed at €680–730/t EXW in Italy, €700–720/t EXW in Spain, and €665–700/t CPT in Germany. In the flat steel segment, hot-rolled coil is offered in the €700–710/t range in Germany and Italy, while galvanized and CRC products continue to hold above the €800/t level. Plate prices in the European market have stabilized around €760–770/t EXW, with rising slab costs and energy-related pressures providing additional support to pricing levels.

On the import side, competitive pressure remains evident across the European market. Turkish-origin HRC offers, including anti-dumping duties, are reported at €620–630/t CFR Italy, while Indian material remains the most competitive source at €580–600/t. Algerian-origin products are positioned at a higher segment, around €725–740/t DDP Italy. Rising Asian slab prices at $600–620/t CIF Europe continue to lift the overall cost base, particularly in plate and flat steel segments. In wire rod and SBQ, anticipated price increases of approximately €100/t are expected to exert further upward pressure on downstream product pricing, with this trend likely extending through the second half of the year.

The upcoming TRQ framework, expected to enter into force on 1 July, is set to significantly reshape import dynamics from a trade policy perspective. The system is projected to reduce total import quotas by approximately 47% compared to 2024 levels, while increasing out-of-quota tariffs from 25% to 50%. As country-specific quota allocations are finalized, domestic market pricing is expected to become more aggressive, although ongoing uncertainty continues to maintain a cautious stance among buyers. Against this backdrop, third-quarter contracting is likely to reflect tighter supply conditions and a firmer pricing environment.

The Tube & Wire exhibition held in Düsseldorf between 13–17 April did not materialize the widely anticipated price increase momentum in the European steel market. While many participants expected producers to revise offers upwards during the event, prices remained broadly stable, and in some cases producers continued to offer discounts under competitive pressure. Nevertheless, underlying market conditions continue to reflect weak demand and persistent uncertainty, which constrain pricing power. The European Union’s increasingly stringent trade defense mechanisms, CBAM-related cost uncertainties, and the forthcoming TRQ system have collectively contributed to a slowdown in import flows. In this context, many buyers have postponed purchasing decisions due to carbon cost exposure and unclear quota allocations, while exporters increasingly highlight the growing complexity and unpredictability of supplying the European market.

Overall, despite weak demand conditions, rising costs, trade barriers, and supply constraints continue to limit downside flexibility in European steel pricing, supporting expectations of a tighter market structure in the second half of the year.

Comments

No comment yet.

Only +plus subscribers can access this content.

SUBSCRIBE now to share your thoughts on the markets and get more comments.
SUBSCRIBE If you already have an account Sign In

Most read news

Slab Market Overview

Thursday, June 11, 2026

Divergence deepens in the MENA steel market: Gulf markets remain resilient while pressure persists in Iran and Iraq

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

EU's new safeguard measures are supporting the European steel market

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Russian scrap market remained stable throughout May

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

UK steel quota cuts tighten the market

Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Follow List
Expand
Your watch list is empty

Add your favorite commodities for quick access and don't miss the latest price change news.


There are no news categories you follow
Edit Notification Preferences
E-bulletin subscription
Sign up to receive the latest news and daily iron prices by e-mail and sms
Become a Plus Subscriber Now!
Try it free for 3 days!
Subscribe Now
Neutral Prices
Be informed
Provincial Iron Prices
Comments and Analysis
Subscribe Now